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Author Topic: LC IPO  (Read 26558 times)

bluestar148

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havastat

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Re: LC IPO
« Reply #1 on: September 03, 2014, 09:06:25 pm »

And theyve been growing like gangbusters -- $5B total in originations at end of last quarter, of which $1B was in last quarter.

Would be nice if they let their early lenders buy in at the IPO price, maybe through FOLIOfn.
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havastat

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Re: LC IPO
« Reply #2 on: September 07, 2014, 11:24:56 pm »

Im interested in investing a small amount in the IPO, low 5-digit figures. Any thoughts on whether it would be possible to get in with such an amount, and with whom I might be able to do it without paying too much for the privelege? Understand one can always buy in once it starts trading.
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bluestar148

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Re: LC IPO
« Reply #3 on: September 09, 2014, 06:24:36 pm »

It is next to impossible. Read this: http://www.investopedia.com/university/ipo/ipo1.asp
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havastat

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Re: LC IPO
« Reply #4 on: September 11, 2014, 03:14:53 pm »

Figured as much.

It would be nice if LendingClub reserved a slice for its long-time retail investors.

But were not exactly their target market these days, are we? And loyalty and a dime wont buy you coffee any more - you need several dollars, and dont expect a discount.
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havastat

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Re: LC IPO
« Reply #5 on: September 21, 2014, 08:33:16 pm »

Lobby
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bluestar148

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Re: LC IPO
« Reply #6 on: November 17, 2014, 03:20:06 pm »

This is very good.
"As you may know, Lending Club filed a registration statement with the Securities and Exchange Commission to sell common stock through an initial public offering (IPO). We currently expect to reserve a portion of our IPO shares for investors like you through a directed share program (DSP) administered by Fidelity Investments ("Fidelity"). To be eligible to participate, youll need to open a brokerage account with Fidelity and meet certain suitability requirements. "
« Last Edit: November 20, 2014, 07:42:08 am by bluestar148 »
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loanuniverse

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Re: LC IPO
« Reply #7 on: November 17, 2014, 09:39:39 pm »

I got the same email. I clicked the button but it was not clear what I had to do.

Anyway looking forward to seeing if I can get into the IPO.
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"And again, when you have 15 people, and the 15 within a couple of days is going to be down to close to zero, that’s a pretty good job we’ve done."

havastat

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Re: LC IPO
« Reply #8 on: November 18, 2014, 06:10:52 pm »

Also got the DSP email. They did it!

My impression was that clicking the button sends your information to Fidelity who is handling the DSP, and presumably we will hear from them about what the terms are.

Dont know if one has to already have a brokerage account at Fidelity to hear the terms.
« Last Edit: November 18, 2014, 06:13:04 pm by havastat »
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havastat

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Re: LC IPO
« Reply #9 on: November 19, 2014, 11:35:34 pm »

LendingClub filed an amending registration with the SEC including prospectus.

On EDGAR at

http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1409970/000119312514414075/0001193125-14-414075-index.htm
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loanuniverse

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Re: LC IPO
« Reply #10 on: November 23, 2014, 10:33:22 pm »

Got the email and opened the Fidelity account.  Could not tie the checking account to it, but we will see.

When it comes to IPOs, I have gotten lucky in the last 6 out 7 that I have been able to participate in the last couple of years. I look at the numbers and the possible hype. I have not looked at the numbers, but I see this as a possible pop because of the attractiveness of the industry to the regular investor so I will get in if I can.
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"And again, when you have 15 people, and the 15 within a couple of days is going to be down to close to zero, that’s a pretty good job we’ve done."

Blumoves

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Re: LC IPO
« Reply #11 on: November 26, 2014, 09:42:53 pm »

Hey loanuniverse or anyone else for that matter,
Based on your previous experience with this type of thing, how much do you think they will allow us to invest?  I cant imagine they would allow us to put up $500,000 if we wanted.  I am guessing there is going to be a cap to the amount we can invest, any idea on the amount?
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loanuniverse

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Re: LC IPO
« Reply #12 on: November 27, 2014, 07:49:59 am »

Hey loanuniverse or anyone else for that matter,
Based on your previous experience with this type of thing, how much do you think they will allow us to invest?  I cant imagine they would allow us to put up $500,000 if we wanted.  I am guessing there is going to be a cap to the amount we can invest, any idea on the amount?
The way that I have seen it work is that the Company allocates a certain amount of shares from the IPO for their "fans" or "members". Then those shares are distributed amongst those that participate.

Usually you do not get the full allocation of shares that you want to buy. However, you get more if you bid for more. Example: A total of 1,000 shares are allocated for lendingclub members.

Investor A says that he is willing to buy 200 shares
Investor B says that he is willing to buy 800 shares
Investor C says that he is willing to buy 1,000 shares

Since the demand is more than the supply then what they usually do is divide the supply and A might get 100, B might get 400, and C might get 500.

Take into consideration that there could be a lot of variations to this, they could put set a minimum number of shares allocated to investors. Usually there is no cap in the amount you are willing to buy, but you most certainly will not get your full allocation unless the IPO has very little demand.
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"And again, when you have 15 people, and the 15 within a couple of days is going to be down to close to zero, that’s a pretty good job we’ve done."

Fred93

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Re: LC IPO
« Reply #13 on: November 27, 2014, 04:49:35 pm »

Heres the calculation.  Based on many assumptions (guesses) etc.  Assumptions are blue.  Result is red.

1. The IPO goes out at $18/sh and $4B valuation, implies 222.2M shares total.
2. IPO is rumored to be aiming at raising $650M, which would be 36.1M shares.
3. The DSP is set at 5% of shares, that would be 1.8M shares.
4. There will be 18,000 participants in the DSP, leaving 100 shares for each person on the average.
5. Note that they havent said how these shares will be allocated among individual directors, employees, lenders, etc.   I argue that I should get more than you, because ... well Ill think of something.

The valuation guess is probably close.  The number of shares allocated to DSP is a cruder guess, and I think could be anywhere from 2% to 10%.  The number of participants is anybodys guess.  Fidelity is said to have said that 50,000 people signed up, but I doubt that a large fraction will follow thru.

If they were bold, and set the DSP at 10%, and then only 9,000 people participated, that would increase the result to 400 shares per person.  On the other hand, if they set the DSP at 2.5%, and 36,000 people participate, then the result is 25 shares per person.
« Last Edit: November 27, 2014, 04:55:33 pm by Fred93 »
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Blumoves

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Re: LC IPO
« Reply #14 on: November 27, 2014, 11:15:03 pm »

Thanks guys that was helpful.  Fred, loved your breakdown.  Very informative.
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